Excuse my language, but how the fuck would he know? Andrew Sullivan on Falluja: : "The sad truth is that this insurgency cannot be subdued without a political solution that our early mis-steps made far, far more difficult."

I'm glad a major blogger is following this story -- and indeed, I suspect that Sullivan's right in this case -- but he also has a track record of making predictions that, like this one, are framed in absolute terms and then turn out to be absolutely wrong. So where's he getting his information? Or is this yet another worthless hunch?